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The PowerGriz numbers. Last update: BOS@LAL, GAME 6 (06-15)
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
Posts: 5559
Location: On the dance floor with Megan

PostPosted: Mon May 05, 2008 6:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

woah interesting stats
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A. Benbow



Joined: 04 Feb 2008
Posts: 41
Location: Arrigorriaga

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 8:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

PowerGriz wrote:
I couldn't watch the game tonight but that's ok because I have my numbers and they tell me everything I need to know man13

The PowerGriz numbers: UTA@LAL (2008-05-04)
Visiting team:jazz. Chance of success: 0.140996
Mehmet Okur 0.117056
Kyle Korver 0.0621397
C.J. Miles 0.0465489
Deron Williams 0.0242677
Jarron Collins 0.00464661
Ronnie Brewer -0.00179820
Ronnie Price -0.0109584
Andrei Kirilenko -0.0190201
Paul Millsap -0.0249686
Carlos Boozer -0.0365715
Matt Harpring -0.0638513


Home team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.859004
Kobe Bryant 0.358914
Pau Gasol 0.204867
Sasha Vujacic 0.159295
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.0651221
Lamar Odom 0.0163116
Didier Ilunga-Mbenga 0.00682655
Derek Fisher -0.00282386
Luke Walton -0.0139412
Ronny Turiaf -0.0666482
Jordan Farmar -0.0960379


Funny. I´d say that if you changed DJ by any other player those 3 secs the chance of success would be the very same. Maybe I´m not that good in AI to understand it. mhihi

Anyway, it´s interesting having a look at this stats. Thanks for doing it.
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 3:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: UTA@LAL (2008-05-07)
Visiting team:jazz. Chance of success: 0.0375648
Deron Williams 0.0451434
Paul Millsap 0.0423628
Ronnie Brewer 0.0303236
Kyle Korver 0.00823260
Mehmet Okur 0.00725384
Carlos Boozer -0.00112889
Jarron Collins -0.00128344
Ronnie Price -0.00461001
Andrei Kirilenko -0.0115854
C.J. Miles -0.0213653
Matt Harpring -0.0678231


Home team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.962435
Derek Fisher 0.301396
Lamar Odom 0.147733
Kobe Bryant 0.139000
Sasha Vujacic 0.114244
Pau Gasol 0.0399060
Jordan Farmar 0.0392675
Ronny Turiaf -0.0158849
Luke Walton -0.0250947
Vladimir Radmanovic -0.0274170
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trodgers
Clublakers Moderator


Joined: 22 Oct 2004
Posts: 22155
Location: Tallahassee

PostPosted: Sat May 10, 2008 5:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fisher lighting it up.
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Mon May 12, 2008 2:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Another blind post:


The PowerGriz numbers: LAL@UTA (2008-05-11)
Visiting team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.0592914
Pau Gasol 0.0580154
Lamar Odom 0.0539888
Derek Fisher 0.0282797
Sasha Vujacic 0.0188668
Kobe Bryant -0.00276397
Didier Ilunga-Mbenga -0.0191427
Jordan Farmar -0.0331534
Ronny Turiaf -0.0366364
Vladimir Radmanovic -0.0369678
Luke Walton -0.0419129


Home team:jazz. Chance of success: 0.940709
Deron Williams 0.240279
Mehmet Okur 0.0718789
Matt Harpring 0.0684135
Andrei Kirilenko 0.0679300
Ronnie Brewer 0.0572331
Paul Millsap 0.0539583
Kyle Korver 0.0225976
Ronnie Price 0.0145335
Carlos Boozer -0.0756899
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
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Location: On the dance floor with Megan

PostPosted: Mon May 12, 2008 8:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

^ Wow interesting stats there. Ronnie Price had a terrific game last night but the stats show otherwise
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 6:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: UTA@LAL (2008-05-14)
Visiting team:jazz. Chance of success: 0.216476
Ronnie Brewer 0.107068
Deron Williams 0.0685148
Mehmet Okur 0.0623105
C.J. Miles 0.0390359
Matt Harpring 0.0223988
Jarron Collins 0.0197950
Carlos Boozer 0.0180553
Ronnie Price -0.0200849
Kyle Korver -0.0245672
Paul Millsap -0.0328863
Andrei Kirilenko -0.0571034


Home team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.783524
Lamar Odom 0.234971
Kobe Bryant 0.213604
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.119104
Pau Gasol 0.109210
Derek Fisher 0.0861485
Jordan Farmar 0.0177817
Ronny Turiaf 0.0149044
Didier Ilunga-Mbenga -0.0107364
Luke Walton -0.0232898
Sasha Vujacic -0.169380
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Mon May 19, 2008 2:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: LAL@UTA (2008-05-16)
Visiting team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.762881
Derek Fisher 0.373684
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.224953
Sasha Vujacic 0.187935
Kobe Bryant 0.166914
Lamar Odom 0.134948
Ronny Turiaf -0.0495749
Jordan Farmar -0.0618354
Luke Walton -0.0884667
Pau Gasol -0.121050


Home team:jazz. Chance of success: 0.237119
Paul Millsap 0.132697
Andrei Kirilenko 0.0781188
Deron Williams 0.0657165
Matt Harpring 0.0615756
Kyle Korver 0.0392508
Ronnie Brewer 0.0357910
Mehmet Okur 0.0206127
Ronnie Price -0.0144268
C.J. Miles -0.0750668
Carlos Boozer -0.107183
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Mon May 19, 2008 2:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wow!
Was Pau really that bad in the game? I couldn't watch it. Boozer also appears in heavily negative numbers. Perhaps they both canceled each other out.
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Thu May 22, 2008 4:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: SAS@LAL (2008-05-21)
Visiting team:spurs. Chance of success: 0.239413
Bruce Bowen 0.0999020
Tony Parker 0.0887258
Tim Duncan 0.0712182
Kurt Thomas 0.0161783
Jacque Vaughn 0.00460831
Brent Barry -0.000344386
Robert Horry -0.00202165
Ime Udoka -0.00578315
Fabricio Oberto -0.0173276
Michael Finley -0.0910075
Manu Ginobili -0.140385


Home team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.760587
Kobe Bryant 0.302365
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.150913
Pau Gasol 0.0987674
Jordan Farmar 0.0837705
Sasha Vujacic 0.0794499
Luke Walton -0.0137789
Ronny Turiaf -0.0180399
Derek Fisher -0.161042
Lamar Odom -0.167074
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Mon May 26, 2008 3:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: LAL@SAS (2008-05-25)
Visiting team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.000768640
Kobe Bryant 0.0249417
Jordan Farmar 0.00674558
Luke Walton 0.00626996
Trevor Ariza 0.00112094
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.000724189
Sasha Vujacic -0.00187669
Ronny Turiaf -0.00541421
Derek Fisher -0.0132877
Pau Gasol -0.0221951
Lamar Odom -0.0561112


Home team:spurs. Chance of success: 0.999231
Manu Ginobili 0.205920
Tony Parker 0.0547231
Fabricio Oberto 0.0351098
Brent Barry 0.0244218
Michael Finley 0.0193931
Tim Duncan 0.0174966
Bruce Bowen 0.0163363
Ime Udoka 0.0117211
Kurt Thomas 0.0102310
Matt Bonner 0.00726767
Robert Horry -0.0190837
Jacque Vaughn -0.0238458
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trodgers
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Joined: 22 Oct 2004
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PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 4:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Since I stickied this, I sometimes forget about it. Kobe is a beast.
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Sat May 31, 2008 6:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: SAS@LAL (2008-05-29)
Visiting team:spurs. Chance of success: 0.358336
Brent Barry 0.152642
Bruce Bowen 0.148585
Kurt Thomas 0.0865104
Michael Finley 0.0824170
Tony Parker 0.0453490
Fabricio Oberto 0.00175576
Manu Ginobili -0.0765382
Tim Duncan -0.156892


Home team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.641664
Kobe Bryant 0.311516
Pau Gasol 0.0650594
Lamar Odom 0.0631918
Jordan Farmar 0.0568257
Sasha Vujacic 0.0428003
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.0336450
Luke Walton 0.00636734
Derek Fisher -0.00633791
Ronny Turiaf -0.00645462
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Pau Power



Joined: 05 Feb 2008
Posts: 162

PostPosted: Sat May 31, 2008 9:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks for the stats

Certainly interesting stuff.
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karacha



Joined: 01 Nov 2005
Posts: 15499

PostPosted: Sat May 31, 2008 12:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

When Gasol is near the top - we win.
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
Posts: 5559
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 01, 2008 10:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

When our big 3 are the top 3 contributors, we're very hard to stop

Good to see the stats reflecting that
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Sun Jun 01, 2008 11:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Agreed
I think we also do well when Sasha and either Pau or Lamar get good rankings
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2008 10:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

can't wait to see the numbers from Game 1 of the Finals
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2008 10:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

MDI wrote:
can't wait to see the numbers from Game 1 of the Finals


At your service :)

The PowerGriz numbers: LAL@BOS (2008-06-05)
Visiting team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.252489
Pau Gasol 0.0809331
Lamar Odom 0.0700032
Derek Fisher 0.0658507
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.0439930
Jordan Farmar -0.00465240
Sasha Vujacic -0.0199651
Ronny Turiaf -0.0452446
Luke Walton -0.0523278
Kobe Bryant -0.208727


Home team:celtics. Chance of success: 0.747511
Paul Pierce 0.225634
Kevin Garnett 0.141008
Leon Powe 0.135735
Rajon Rondo 0.0958993
Ray Allen 0.0940018
Sam Cassell 0.0150830
P.J. Brown -0.0130468
Kendrick Perkins -0.0265454
James Posey -0.124643
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
Posts: 5559
Location: On the dance floor with Megan

PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2008 10:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

why is Gasol always at the top of your numbers, you've constructed it to favor him huh?? man2 man2 man2

im jk

Statistically yes Gasol was our best and efficient player.

Oh man, Kobe on the bottom. If a couple of bounces went our way and a handful of ticky tack fouls weren't called, we would've had a different outcome. Amazing to see Kobe being the "worst player" and yet we were RIGHT THERE. Definitely encouraging.

Thanks for the quick response, keep up the good work jam2
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2008 10:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes, I cheat to make Gasol appear always at the top freak2

Nah, actually I didn't like him tonight. My brother and I were watching the game together and we were talking about how weak he looked all night. Then again we were complaining about every single player, I don't think any of our guys played well. Maybe the pressure of being in the finals is taking a toll on them. We also talked about Kobe being unusually off, which also ended up reflecting in the numbers.

Bad game overall, I'm surprised that it was even close
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
Posts: 5559
Location: On the dance floor with Megan

PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2008 11:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

reasons could be

1) Hostile environment playing a critical game. Intimidated by the big stage.

2) Boston is obviously more physical...next to Utah this is the most physical team

3) Rust...the long layoff from our last game played

4) Feeling each other's game out and trying to find tendencies and patterns in moves and sets run

I think we'll be fine in game 2...we should steal that one

Kobe was furious and he said he missed shots he usually makes and I agree.
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Mon Jun 09, 2008 2:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: LAL@BOS (2008-06-08)
Visiting team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.185380
Pau Gasol 0.139119
Kobe Bryant 0.0983863
Jordan Farmar 0.0703016
Vladimir Radmanovic 0.0687261
Ronny Turiaf 0.0385029
Derek Fisher 0.0378322
Lamar Odom 0.0299975
Sasha Vujacic 0.00598841
Luke Walton -0.0220494
Trevor Ariza -0.0396890


Home team:celtics. Chance of success: 0.814620
Leon Powe 0.326081
Ray Allen 0.190498
Paul Pierce 0.156291
Kendrick Perkins 0.151415
James Posey 0.137133
Rajon Rondo 0.136314
P.J. Brown 0.130005
Sam Cassell -0.0488624
Kevin Garnett -0.120305
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trodgers
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Joined: 22 Oct 2004
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PostPosted: Mon Jun 09, 2008 9:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting...but something's up because Vlad flat out sucked.
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Mon Jun 09, 2008 10:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

trodgers wrote:
Interesting...but something's up because Vlad flat out sucked.


Hmmm... finally a challenge jam2

I'll watch the game tonight and will look closely at Vlade. I haven't even seen his stats yet, I usually prefer to watch the game before looking at the stats. If you are right then I'll have to go through the code to see if something is broken.

Thanks, this is the kind of feedback that helps me find and fix problems.
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
Posts: 5559
Location: On the dance floor with Megan

PostPosted: Mon Jun 09, 2008 12:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vlad sucked to begin the game (picking up chippy fouls and letting Paul Pierce get easy baskets) and then he sucked in the 3rd quarter (hoisted up 3 uncontested shtos and missed them early in the shot clock) and also had one turnover as well

he was dynamite in the fourth quarter though...he helped out with the spacing, the three point shooting, rebounding and defense (picked up a couple of steals I believe)
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Tue Jun 10, 2008 2:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah, I agree with MDI. It's kind of hard to judge Vlade in this game, he had ups and downs. His statline doesn't look too bad either. I don't know, I guess it's one of those cases where one could argue that the ranking should be slightly positive or slightly negative.
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PowerGriz



Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 181

PostPosted: Wed Jun 11, 2008 1:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The PowerGriz numbers: BOS@LAL (2008-06-10)
Visiting team:celtics. Chance of success: 0.104549
Ray Allen 0.112341
James Posey 0.0565823
Kendrick Perkins 0.0476796
Rajon Rondo 0.00823828
Eddie House -0.0195062
Sam Cassell -0.0230019
Leon Powe -0.0336393
P.J. Brown -0.0834597
Kevin Garnett -0.0871232
Paul Pierce -0.212538


Home team:lakers. Chance of success: 0.895451
Kobe Bryant 0.480590
Sasha Vujacic 0.329082
Jordan Farmar 0.0828939
Trevor Ariza 0.0556600
Derek Fisher -0.0125646
Luke Walton -0.0497677
Ronny Turiaf -0.0505500
Vladimir Radmanovic -0.0621396
Pau Gasol -0.0728432
Lamar Odom -0.188531
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MDI



Joined: 13 Jan 2008
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Location: On the dance floor with Megan

PostPosted: Wed Jun 11, 2008 4:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

^ no surprise there

Sasha and Kobe were our two best while LO and Gasol were our two worst players last night
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revgen
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Joined: 03 Apr 2006
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 11, 2008 3:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Overall the Celtics chances of success average to .555 for the last 3 games and the Lakers chances average out to .444 during the last 3 games. This seems to be favoring the Lakers because instead of Boston's chances of success being .666 or higher since they won 2 of 3 games, it's actually lower. Considering that the Lakers only win happened to only be only by 6 points, it's pretty interesting. So even though the Celtics are up 2-1, they are closer to 1.25-1 according to the Powergriz statistics.
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