NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

Postby trodgers on Sat Jan 07, 2012 12:08 pm

1. Chicago/Miami (tied)
3. Philadelphia
4. Denver
5. San Antonio
6. Atlanta
7. Portland
8. Orlando
9. Indiana
10. OKC
11. Clippers
12. Cleveland
13. Lakers
14. Phoenix
15. Boston
16. Utah
17. Toronto
18. Memphis/Milwaukee (tie)
20. Dallas
21. Minnesota
22. New York
23. Houston
24. New Orleans
25. Golden State
26. Sacramento
27. Charlotte
28. Detroit
29. Washington
30. New Jersey

Biggest Risers
Utah +11
Chicago +7
Boston +7
Cleveland +7

Biggest Fallers
Houston -11
New Orleans -10
Milwaukee -7
Charlotte -7
Golden State -7
OKC -7
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Re: NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

Postby trodgers on Sat Jan 07, 2012 12:27 pm

Just for comparison, here are the final ratings from last season, the top 8:

Miami
Dallas
Chicago
San Antonio
Lakers
OKC/Boston
Orlando
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Re: NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

Postby SublimeAnarky on Sat Jan 07, 2012 12:29 pm

hmm.. while i'm sure you've done your stat crunching here trodgers, to me it looks like the clips/cavs are higher than they ought to be and the thunder lower than where they should ?

what was your logic here ?
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Re: NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

Postby trodgers on Sat Jan 07, 2012 1:26 pm

SublimeAnarky wrote:hmm.. while i'm sure you've done your stat crunching here trodgers, to me it looks like the clips/cavs are higher than they ought to be and the thunder lower than where they should ?

what was your logic here ?

It's an objective measure, so I don't have logic that goes into it on an individual (week-by-week) basis. I crunch actual record, offensive and defensive performance, and performance against strength of schedule. I can, however, attempt to explain why they are where they are.

OKC's defense is statistically atrocious. The teams they have beaten are a combined 18-26; the teams they lost to are a combined 8-7. OKC doesn't seem to have that elite feel so far. I have litle doubt that they'll be a bit better as the season wears on, but they're currently projected as a playoff team based on performance.

Clippers' opponents are 21-15, and statisically they're they best offense (and one of the worst defenses). They're also leading their division, mind you.

Cleveland's losses are against teams with a combined win% over 50, and they're only middle of the pack (and if the season ended today, they would be in the playoffs). So I think this is a reasonable rating.

I appreciate your taking the time to post; if you have other questions or rebuttles, let me know!
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Re: NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

Postby Daloyalfan18 on Sat Jan 07, 2012 8:46 pm

Wow, excellent job last year with your top 2 being the NBA finalists. I'm interested in keeping up with these ratings throughout the season! :jam2:
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Re: NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

Postby trodgers on Sun Jan 08, 2012 6:19 am

No one can predict the future with perfect accuracy (and that's good), but I've always enjoyed trying to figure our what aspects of a player contributes to team success and what aspects of a team's performance contribute most to future success. I have no firm answers :)
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Re: NBA Rodgers Ratings (Jan. 7)

Postby SublimeAnarky on Sun Jan 08, 2012 8:04 am

true.. there hasnt yet been any measure that has allowed with decent accuracy - a picture of what the league would look like at the end of a season with consistency right through it imo.

i'm interested in watching you take this forward trodgers, the stats are one thing, but i see an element of 'gut feel' also coming into play with your rankings and that might just be the 'secret sauce' that makes your more relevant in a fairly crowded space of soothsayers.. keep 'em coming :bow:
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