LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

Postby trodgers on Mon Jun 11, 2012 1:16 pm

http://blog.travisjrodgers.com/2012/06/11/la-lakers-positional-analysis-shooting-gurad.aspx

SCORING EFFICIENCY
Bryant 6.7
Goudelock 5.4
Barnes 5.2
Ebanks 4.5
Kapono 4.1
-Scoring Efficiency measures a player's ability to create effective scoring opportunities. That means that being effective in the chances you get is one part; the other is creating when you don't have those opportunities. The numbers are not very surprising here. Bryant's SCOFF was right up there with Durant (6.9) and was slightly better than Carmelo's (6.6) and Wade's (6.6). Despite a poor shooting percentage, Bryant is still able to put points on the board as effecitvely as just about anyone in the league. Goudelock's SCOFF is respectable, and the number is promising from a rookie. Ebanks and Kapono were both ineffective but for different reasons. Ebanks's confidence was clearly affected by an early seasons benching. Kapono did not seem to be there physically and was eventually let go.

PASSING EFFICIENCY
Bryant 3.1
Barnes 2.8
Goudelock 2.1
Kapono 2.0
Ebanks 1.7
-None of LA's Shooting Guards are great ball handlers; while Bryant holds his own (he's better than Durant's 2.8), he's clearly not at the elite level of SGs (Wade was at 3.5, Iggy at 3.6, and Rose at 4.1). Barnes's number is not bad (same as Durant's), but after that, it's slim pickings. Goudelock and Ebanks are likely to improve those numbers as they become more acclimated to the NBA game. Kapono doesn't really have any excuses.

HUSTLE EFFICIENCY
Barnes 3.1
Ebanks 3.0
Bryant 2.4
Goudelock 1.4
Kapono 1.3
-Matt Barnes's HUFF is great. A quick examination of the elites at similar positions, only Wade (3.2) was better. Ebanks showed his Ariza-like knack for blocks, deflections, and rebounding. He could carve out a role on most teams just by doing that consistently. Bryant's numbers were not bad, but fouls and turnovers hurt him. Goudelock and Kapono's numbers are simply horrendous. Again, maybe Goudelock has an excuse.

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
Bryant 96
Barnes 71
Goudelock 55
Ebanks 50
Kapono 35
-Compare to some of the top Guards/Wing Players: Wade 106, Rose 100, Durant 99, Carmelo 95. Kobe is still clearly in elite territory. Barnes was respectable, and after that the options drop off severely. Kapono was brought in to be a shooter. When a shooter cannot shoot consistently, that player is not going to be worth very much. There is reason to hold out hope for development from both Goudelock and Ebanks. For instance, in the ten games Goudelock saw the most minutes, his SCOFF increased to 5.7 and his Offensive Efficiency rose to 62.

CONTRACT SITUATION
Kobe Bryant is under contract for two more seasons. At $27.8M and with a No Trade Clause, he is not going anywhere. Matt Barnes becomes a Free Agent. After earning less than $2M this season, and with veteran experience, Barnes is an interesting player; he might be happy to remain in LA at a very affordable price. Goudelock's team option is $762k. Ebanks is a Free Agent. His skill set is sufficiently interesting to draw a good deal of interest on the open market (compare 2011/2012 salaries of Matt Barnes - $1.9M and Trevor Ariza - $6.8M; both are similar but more seasoned players). Jason Kapono was dealt, and he will almost certainly not return.

FINAL ANALYSIS
Kobe Bryant will almost certainly start and consume the majority of minutes at the Shooting Guard position. The only other player who is obviously a Shooting Guard on the roster is Andrew Goudelock. His combination of shooting, scoring, youth, and incredibly low salary make him an excellent bet to be LA's primary backup at the SG spot next season. If there are moves coming, do not expect much at the 2. Ebanks, mostly a Small Forward, would be an intriguing player to re-sign. He can do what Barnes does, and he has a higher ceiling. Would he re-sign a contract starting at what Barnes earned this season ($1.9M)? If not, LA might have to look at cheaper options. Money is tight in LA. It is unclear what the biggest questionmark is for LA at the SG spot. Most of these questions will be examined in the next positional installation: Small Forward.
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Re: LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

Postby Battle Tested20 on Mon Jun 11, 2012 1:58 pm

Nice Job
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Re: LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

Postby therealdeal on Mon Jun 11, 2012 9:40 pm

I'm hopeful that the Lakers give Goudelock some room to grow. I know that Brown disliked his defensive ability, but his offense was clearly there. I'm not sure he can get much better defensively because of his size, but I certainly believe he deserves a chance unless the Lakers feel like there's other options out there.
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Re: LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

Postby Rooscooter on Tue Jun 12, 2012 11:23 am

The SG position beyond Kobe was not good at all this year. (the bench was not good in general) You list Barnes.. but how many minutes did he play at shooting guard? Same for Ebanks.... I don't remember him getting a ton of minutes at the SG. It seemed that Blake played that position after we got Sessions a lot more than Barnes or Ebanks.

Goudelock was a nice surprise, especially for where he was taken, but he's not a the answer at this position IMO. If we are going to make a real run and another title we need someone behind Kobe that can put up consistent numbers every night and play both ends of the floor. He makes sense as a shooting specialist and/or small line-up player but Kobe needs fewer minutes next year and we need someone that can hold that position down for 15 to 18 minutes a game.

I see the back-up SG and both SF positions as our biggest needs going into the offseason.
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Re: LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

Postby trodgers on Tue Jun 12, 2012 11:48 am

^ I listed those guys at SG because they played there for some time (always hard to tell how much; I go by 82games.com for that info); I certainly see both Ebanks and Barnes as much better fits at the SF spot. I just finished that writeup, by the way. I'll post it tomorrow.

It's true, though: if you look at that position as Kobe, Goudelock, and Kapono...that's horrible depth. LA's backup SG was certainly a sore spot.
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Re: LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

Postby trodgers on Tue Jun 12, 2012 6:37 pm

You know, Roo, if we don't make some blockbuster trade, I think you're right. If we have Sessions/Kobe/MWP/Gasol/Bynum in the starting lineup, we can already field a decent second unit in Blake/Goudelock/Ebanks?/McRoberts/Hill?. Clearly scoring punch or a massive shift in offensive philosophy would be what is needed most.
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Re: LA Positional Analysis: SG (Trodgers)

Postby Rooscooter on Wed Jun 13, 2012 10:33 am

^^I don't think we have Pau next year.... what we get is the question....

I still think the first priority of the Buss Family is a "post Kobe star" over fixing the current team.... that's more of a "read between the lines" analysis more than anything else but with the new T.V. deal looming and the variable nature of that contract the Lakers will need a Star to keep the eyeballs on FOX...... especially with the Clips coming on. They thought they had that star in December.... they were willing to trade 2/3 of the front court to get him as well.... That could very well be what happens this offseason if they can swing the right deal....

I'd love to see Pau go out for a combination of players that solves our problems..... say Granger and West for example but a lot of things would have to go "right" for something like that to happen.
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