King of Clutch wrote:I think lebron can get it, if he doesn't fall off. His scoring has dipped some this season, but thats because of the high talent of that team. It will slow down the process though. Also, that 10-20,000 kobe got there so quick. He was on a scoring CLINIC in those years. Lebron is in that phase now, but not scoring as much as kobe did during that span. His first few years compensate for that though. He'll need to stay healthy and consistent. Can he do it? Who knows. Look at wade. wade is a great player, but he hasn't been healthy last year, and beginning of this year, and is averaging around 19 points on a low fg% this year. Some people lose to father time in the first round, and aren't lucky enough to stay healthy. Thats just what happens...
Certainly by the numbers Lebron is well within the bounds of reason to not only reach 30k faster than Kobe but even slip into the #2 or #1 spot when all is said and done. Being "The guy" straight out of high school, playing a ton of minutes(he's probably played more total minutes in his first 8 years than just about anyone else in the league) he's never played a full 82-game season, but he's never missed significant time due to injury and he's never found his scoring hampered much by persistent small injuries, not to mention only having to deal with one relatively short lockout. But, this is his 9th season, and without trying to cast an omen on the dude, I truly hope he doesn't have to suffer through a major injury, it's just... by the numbers and against history, his odds aren't great. He's also lost a step already in some respects. He's easily playing some of the best overall basketball of his life right now, he's filled out his weaknesses and elevated his game, but he doesn't jump as high as he used to, he's not as fast as he was...etc. Not that this will impede his efforts to be a scoring dynamo much, but it does raise questions about whether he actually can make it to 17 years of productivity without a serious drop off.
We'll just have to wait and see.
Nothing he can do will diminish the awe-inspiring legacy Kobe has laid down, that's for sure.