you are all really confident!
I think as well that Kobe will stay. But he is damn clever and what he wants is only win. Best case Shaq get in shape, Lakers get good free agent, Lakers win it all next season, Kobe re-sign with Lakers for a long term contract. Best case.
A little less dreamful: Shaq is back with teletubbie (copyright for someone else saying that in another thread
) body, free agency is bad (hey we get Lue, not that bad...), Lakers lose (only this point could be enough), Kobe leave. Is it really unthinkable?