JGC wrote:Folks, there's a difference between hope and think. For us to win as described above, we would have to win more road games over the final 28 than we have over the first 54.
We're .333 on the road, and somehow you believe we're going to go (.714) on the road?
I just don't understand how people can think that the most likely possible scenario is that a .333 road team through 50+ games, is going to go .714 on the road and a .600 home team over that same stretch is suddenly going to go .786
If you meant that's what you realistically hope, then ok I get that, but if that's what you believe is the scenario that has the greatest likelihood of occurring over any other, then I think you have the words confused.
in order to go 20-8:
That's unlikely, but not impossible (.860 at home, .571 on road). We just went 4-3 on our recent road trip which is a .571 win %.
Our most difficult games remaining are:
Every other game we have a decent shot of winning. We have a home game against SAS in our 2nd to last game but Pop usually mails it in at the end and plays all bench guys so that shouldn't be too bad. A lot of our home games are against average-mediocre teams so if we want to make the playoffs it will involve winning almost of those games.