All signs point to a Mavericks sweep in this series.
The Lakers are 0-4 since 2003 in elimination games on the road, with an average margin of defeat of 23 points. The Lakers are now 6-10 in their past 16 games, and many of those losses were the result of 4th quarter meltdowns. The Lakers have also performed excessively poorly in recent early Sunday games, which is unfortunately the scheduled time for Game 4. Recent and older Lakers history both suggest a Lakers loss in Game 4.
Additionally, teams that fell behind 0-3 in a playoff series despite having home court advantage are only 5-10 on the road in Game 4. Clearly a team that goes down 0-3 despite having home court advantage becomes extremely discouraged at this point and even extending the series one more game has been historically difficult.
Based on the body language and the attitude of the Lakers in game 3, it's clear they are discouraged and most of them seem ready to give up. Much like in the Detroit series, most players on this team have accepted that they cannot beat the Mavericks, and unless Kobe and Fisher can somehow spark hope and motivation in their teammates (especially Gasol), they will go down in Game 4.
The Lakers have been outscored 82-55 in the 4th quarter, Dirk has shot 56% for the series while averaging 27 PTS and 10 REB, and the Mavericks have been unbelievably clutch especially in crunch time. The only hope the Lakers have of winning is to slow down Dirk, and enter the 4th quarter with a 15+ point lead. If that doesn't happen, it's over for the Lakers.
We'll find out tomorrow if the Lakers can buck all the trends and historical statistics, but it's honestly looking very doubtful especially with Gasol as nothing more than a shell of his former self.
"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves in the course of time a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it." - Frederic Bastiat