Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby Weezy on Sat Feb 26, 2011 1:38 pm

Sunday, February 27th
11:30 PM PST
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby karacha on Sat Feb 26, 2011 5:24 pm

Alright, this one will probably be more difficult. And you never know which Lakers team will show up. If Ron does good job on KD again, we have a decent chance.

Is Perk playing? Probably not, right?

In that case Pau/Bynum are going against Collison/Ibaka. They better own that matchup.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby TIME on Sat Feb 26, 2011 5:52 pm

I want to see the Durantula repeat his all star 3 point contest performance.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby mamatheregoesthatman on Sat Feb 26, 2011 6:32 pm

karacha wrote:Alright, this one will probably be more difficult. And you never know which Lakers team will show up. If Ron does good job on KD again, we have a decent chance.

Is Perk playing? Probably not, right?

In that case Pau/Bynum are going against Collison/Ibaka. They better own that matchup.


No doubt this will be a tough game, but the Lakers will win IF they treat it like a playoff game. Otherwise, the Thunder will lower the boom on them tomorrow.

Perkins is not playing. Last night on the post-game show (after the Lakers beat the Clippers), Joel and Stu said Perkins will be out 7-10 days, so you're right: our bigs will need to take advantage of theirs.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby mamatheregoesthatman on Sat Feb 26, 2011 6:34 pm

TIME wrote:I want to see the Durantula repeat his all star 3 point contest performance.


If you mean you want to see Durant shoot badly, I agree with you, and Artest should help in that area. :man1:
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby The Rock on Sat Feb 26, 2011 10:05 pm

Gasol vs Ibaka. We have to win this matchup
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby mamatheregoesthatman on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:43 am

^The Rock posted a thread in NBA Discussion with the news that Perkins is out for 2-3 weeks. Thanks.

http://www.clublakers.com/nba-discussion/perkins-will-miss-two-three-weeks-t128311.html
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby dmaul on Sun Feb 27, 2011 10:08 am

Lakers have won 3 in a row so it's about time for them to regress again and have a bad game. Also, it's on national tv so they also have to play bad. And I'm a little concerned about Kobe's elbow.

My prediction: Gasol and Bynum look soft against Ibaka and whatever other stiff they throw at them. Kobe shoots too much because no one else is doing anything, but his jumper's off. Westbrook and Durant go crazy and OKC pulls away in the second half for a blowout. Monday morning, we're back to square one again.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby kray28 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 10:25 am

There are couple of factors working against the Lakers today:

1. Early game.....Lakers will need to dig deep to show up awake and with their biological clocks in tune
2. On the road in OKC, where in the playoffs, the refs put together the blueprint that allows the Thunder to compete with and beat the Lakers: massive FTA differentials (+20 range).
3. The team has run off another brief win streak, and so a mental letup is possible.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby kray28 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 10:29 am

Javie is reffing this one......so dial back the ref doom a bit. He's one of the fairer draws we could ask for actually.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby lakersyunowin on Sun Feb 27, 2011 10:31 am

no worries, we're gonna win by 5. i have spoken.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby NBAisFixedLikeWWE on Sun Feb 27, 2011 11:14 am

The Lakers are favored today, making the Thunder a 2 point Home underdog. The over/under is 199 as well.

Steve Javie, Kevin Fehr, and Eli Roe are the refs for today’s game. Eli Roe is a “homer” ref meaning the Home teams in his officiated games have a “winning” record when it comes to covering the spread. Javie and Fehr both have “losing” records for the home team against the spread on the surface.
However, all 3 refs have .500 or better records for the home team covering the spread when the home team is the underdog and the spread is between 0-4.5 points. So looks like we have 3 homer refs for the spread coverage = THIS SHOULD FAVOR THE THUNDER.

The other portion is the over/under. Javie is the lowest in this total with an average of 191.9, but both Fehr and Roe have averages of 199.5 and 201.1. So on the surface this game should be high scoring and has a good chance of going over 199. However, Javie is listed as the #1 official so his low scoring ref style could have a big influence. However, when the over/under is between 195-204.5, all three refs have a “winning” record on the over side. With all that said, I will tend to speculate that the game will go over. THIS SHOULD FAVOR THE THUNDER.

Lastly, is the actual win/loss records of the home team. The win rate for the home team for each official is: Javie 62%, Fehr 71%, Roe 74%. Thus indicating that home teams regardless of outcome to over/under or point spread tend to win the actual basketball game being played. SO OBVIOUSLY THIS FAVORS THE THUNDER AS WELL.


Based on these stats, I predict the Thunder win today. :man5:
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby laakers on Sun Feb 27, 2011 11:28 am

I really dont believe in odds in a basketball game..... lol
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby OCLakersFan247 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:08 pm

im just so confused that ppl think the thunder are the favorites to win the west now with perkins? where is this coming from?
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby dneprovec on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:24 pm

[Swearing is not permitted at Clublakers. You must edit this post prior to submitting.] Jon Barry hates the Lakers stupid [Swearing is not permitted at Clublakers. You must edit this post prior to submitting.] :disagree:
how he can work at BSPN/ABC beyond me :bang: :bang:
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby venky on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:28 pm

dneprovec wrote:[Swearing is not permitted at Clublakers. You must edit this post prior to submitting.] Jon Barry hates the Lakers stupid [Swearing is not permitted at Clublakers. You must edit this post prior to submitting.] :disagree:
how he can work at BSPN/ABC beyond me :bang: :bang:


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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby kray28 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:34 pm

Ron locked in on Durant and Kobe starts out on Westbrook
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby Rooscooter on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:34 pm

Van Gundy is making some great points about the trade. You get defense, but spacing is hurt.
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby escobar8 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:35 pm

any link...???
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby Rooscooter on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:35 pm

Can we try to go inside please.....
"If the past sits in judgment on the present, the future will be lost." Winston Churchill

“The prospect of domination of the nation's scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present - and is gravely to be regarded." Dwight Eisenhower

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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby kray28 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:37 pm

Lakers shots off early
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby Rooscooter on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:37 pm

Crap start....can't seem to pass it to the post players again...
"If the past sits in judgment on the present, the future will be lost." Winston Churchill

“The prospect of domination of the nation's scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present - and is gravely to be regarded." Dwight Eisenhower

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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby kray28 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:38 pm

Pau finally scratches
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby Uncle_Meat on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:38 pm

NBAisFixedLikeWWE wrote:The Lakers are favored today, making the Thunder a 2 point Home underdog. The over/under is 199 as well.
...

Lastly, is the actual win/loss records of the home team. The win rate for the home team for each official is: Javie 62%, Fehr 71%, Roe 74%. Thus indicating that home teams regardless of outcome to over/under or point spread tend to win the actual basketball game being played. SO OBVIOUSLY THIS FAVORS THE THUNDER AS WELL.

W


Based on these stats, I predict the Thunder win today. :man5:

Welcom aboard. This is the type of analysis I like. You present the stats and now we will see how this pans out... the refs are a unaccountable cabal. My belief is the only way for the Lakers to fare against this is to ignite and shoot out the lights... this takes the game out of refs hands... :man9:
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Re: Sun. 2/27 - Lakers @ Thunder - Predictions & Comments

Postby escobar8 on Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:38 pm

link please...
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